Single AKB48 48th [Negaigoto no Mochigusare] (2017/05/31)

I know @ForrestFuller posted the data from Round 4 of the handshake sales above, but here it is in an easier to read format along with more context for those new to reading these data charts. Credit to akb48memo for all data, all I did was put it next to data from Rounds 1-3 and made it prettier in Google Docs.


(See here for an uncompressed image)

How to Read:

• It's listed from most sales to least, with the second deciding factor being speed. Members not shown haven't sold out a single slot.
  
• The "schedule" is a new thing management is trying with this single. All members are given 24 slots (4 slots per day over 6 days) instead of popular members getting more slots and less popular members getting fewer as before. Now, your popularity in management's eyes is decided by whether you're on the A or B schedule. If you're Schedule A, you're at least somewhat popular - all slots are the standard 1 1/2 hours long, and hence, you can see more fans. If you're Schedule B, management is not expecting much out of you; your slots are all only 1 hour long. Because of this, even if a member is sold out, a member on Schedule A that sells out is more impressive than a member on Schedule B that sells out.
• A member is highlighted in green as soon as they sell out and there is no further data. As you can see, Sayanee sold out Round 1, Sakura Round 2, etc.
• Data for each round, if they sold out anything, is put next to Round 4, which is the most recent round. You can see whether the members went from 0 to 24 in one round or a more gradual process.

The reason I decided to make my own version of akb48memo's data was because Round 4 is the "test" of sorts for the sousenkyo single, being the first round with multiple applications. In Rounds 1-3, each person was limited to a certain amount of applications to ensure everyone had a fair shot at the most popular members before they immediately sold out. Round 4 is the free for all in which you're allowed to put in unlimited applications and that's why all of a sudden the list blows up in the number of people selling out slots.

You're not going to see too much more change in Round 5 because all the people who wanted tickets most likely already bought them in Round 4. It'll just be the people who still need more votes or those who lost more than they expected in the previous round and need some members to fill up their days (like me, damn that 73/1250 (5.8%) win rate with Mikurin, now I need hundreds of Aki/Oimochan tickets ).

 

Wow Rika and Maho sold out and Katomina 23/24 NGT girls are on fire!

 

Goto Rara seling more slots than Tomu? Witchcraft.

 

Is on pre ssk single usually they include resale round too with ssk votes ticket stil inside the theater cd edition ?

 

Witchcraft did exist. Past page summed up this very well.

Too bad we can't measure the percentage of people actually coming to these HS lines.

Sent from my CROSS A28 using Tapatalk

 

Ouch to everyone that got schedule B especially to some members that have been in the group for years. They are mostly kenkyuusei but still. It's like, "we don't really need you but we'll still give you slots to please your fans"

 

The difference between A and B shouldn't be that big though.

If someone in A sells out 24 slots, they're selling around 13k copies.
Someone in B would sell a bit less than 9k.

4k copies isn't that big of a difference, imo. And I guess girls will swap between A and B depending on their performance.

 

Damn, I hope Moekyun's aren't just empty sales.

Surely if you just want a bunch of votes, you pick a) girls who don't usually sell out, AND b) girls you are also slightly interested in? I guess it depends whether you bother to go to the handshakes at all - but if not, don't you just get the theater edition whatever option has no handshakes?

I'm really glad she's sold out, but I just hope people actually visit her at these handshakes and actually vote for her as well!

 

I think there is a limit of hiw many tickets you can enter for a slot including the 2 photos option. Also might as well just pick a girl just in case you feel like want to handshake with her, if you dont feel like it on that day no problem.

 

I've seen other people refer to theater editions as some separate thing from handshake sales too, so let me clarify - theater editions ARE handshakes sales.

And yes, most people are indeed going to the handshakes, otherwise they would just buy the 2-photo option. Whether the votes actually go to her, however, remains to be seen. I would probably say no. Unless she got some really, really rich fans recently, there's no way to explain the jump from Shoot Sign to here. More than likely, those votes are either going to be sold or they're going to those people's actual oshimen.

That's also assuming the people who bought all the Moekyun tickets actually pay. We'll see after Round 1 of resales whether she remains completely sold out.

Technically, there is no limit to how many tickets you can use in one slot, they just reserve the right to arbitrarily shorten the time for you if you have way too many. For example, if a ticket normally gives you 7 seconds, they can just decide to give you 6 seconds per ticket instead to move the line along faster. I can't say I've ever witnessed them doing that though.

 

I mean how much you can apply per one slot in a round

 

Sorry to be that person but @plomeplome you don't need to quote the whole post for that lol

 

That is such an Okada Nana thing to get picky about tbh .

 

Majime all we should be.

 

any news, rumors about this single? I can't sleep Every day I search anything about MV for Negaigoto! I can not wait This song sooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo beautiful

 

Well then...

 

For round 4 to 8, per application (of unlimited applications) you can apply max 5 ticket per slot, up to maximum of 10 different slots.

 

From what I can gauge this song seems to be recieving majority positive response yet I can't tell if it'll sell well in Japan. Are these types of songs liked there?

 

According to this, obviously people will be applying for handshakes rather making multiple applications to apply for 2 photos option only, which is my point.

 

AKB48's 48th Single (Negaigoto no Mochigusare) (5th Round HS Sales)

Spoiler: ALL SLOTS SOLD

1) Yamamoto Sayaka (24.0/24.0①)　
2) Miyawaki Sakura (24.0/24.0②)
3) Matsui Jurina (24.0/24.0③)
4) Shiroma Miru (24.0/24.0③)
5) Sashihara Rino (24.0/24.0③)
6) Okada Nana (24.0/24.0③)
7) Mukaichi Mion (24.0/24.0④)
8) Kashiwagi Yuki (24.0/24.0④)
9) Watanabe Mayu (24.0/24.0④)
10) Goto Moe (24.0/24.0④)
11) Murayama Yuiri (24.0/24.0④)
12) Komiyama Haruka (24.0/24.0④)
13) Kawamoto Saya (24.0/24.0④)
14) Iwatate Saho (24.0/24.0④)
15) Oguri Yui (24.0/24.0④)
16) Kuranoo Narumi (24.0/24.0④)
17) Souda Sarina (24.0/24.0④)
18) Suda Akari (24.0/24.0④)
19) Yagura Fuuko (24.0/24.0④)
20) Kodama Haruka (24.0/24.0④)
21) Tanaka Miku (24.0/24.0④)
22) Nakai Rika (24.0/24.0④)
23) Yamaguchi Maho (24.0/24.0④)
24) Kato Minami (24.0/24.0⑤)
25) Fuchigami Mai (24.0/24.0⑤)
26) Takahashi Juri (24.0/24.0⑤)
27) Okabe Rin (24.0/24.0⑤)
28) Yabuki Nako (24.0/24.0⑤)
29) Goto Rara (24.0/24.0⑤)
30) Nara Miharu (24.0/24.0⑤)
31) Kizaki Yuria (24.0/24.0⑤)
32) Moriyasu Madoka (24.0/24.0⑤)
33) Motomura Aoi (24.0/24.0⑤)
34) Tsukiashi Amane (24.0/24.0⑤)

AKB48

Spoiler: Team A

Sasaki Yukari (23.0/24.0) (▲6.0)
Yokoyama Yui (21.0/24.0) (▲10.0)
Taniguchi Megu (18.0/24.0) (▲7.0)
Hiwatashi Yui (10.0/24.0) (▲3.0)
Oya Shizuka (4.0/20.0) (▲1.0)

Spoiler: Team K

Mukaichi Mion (24.0/24.0④)
Muto Tomu (21.0/24.0) (▲8.0)
Minegishi Minami (8.0/24.0) (▲2.0)
Shinozaki Ayana (6.0/24.0)
Tano Yuka (1.0/24.0) (▲1.0)
Shinobu Mogi (1.0/24.0) (▲1.0)
Ichikawa Manami (1.0/24.0) (▲1.0)
Abe Maria (4.6/16.0) (▲1.3)
Yumoto Ami (0.6/16.0)

Spoiler: Team B

Kashiwagi Yuki (24.0/24.0④)
Watanabe Mayu (24.0/24.0④)
Goto Moe (24.0/24.0④)
Kizaki Yuria (24.0/24.0⑤) (▲8.0)
Fukuoka Seina (8.0/24.0) (▲6.0)
Kato Rena (8.0/24.0) (▲3.0)
Ma Chia-ling (0.6/16.0)

Spoiler: Team 4

Okada Nana (24.0/24.0③)
Murayama Yuiri (24.0/24.0④)
Komiyama Haruka (24.0/24.0④)
Kawamoto Saya (24.0/24.0④)
Iwatate Saho (24.0/24.0④)
Takahashi Juri (24.0/24.0⑤) (▲4.0)
Iino Miyabi (16.0/24.0) (▲9.0)
Kojima Mako (14.0/24.0) (▲4.0)
Omori Miyu (2.0/24.0) (▲1.0)
Izuta Rina (0.6/16.0) (▲0.6)

Spoiler: Team 8

Oguri Yui (24.0/24.0④)
Kuranoo Narumi (24.0/24.0④)
Okabe Rin (24.0/24.0⑤) (▲3.0)
Yamada Nanami (19.0/24.0) (▲5.0)
Cho Kurena (17.0/24.0) (▲1.0)
Honda Hitomi (16.0/24.0) (▲3.0)
Sato Shiori (11.0/24.0) (▲2.0)
Tanikawa Hijiri (11.0/24.0) (▲5.0)
Sakaguchi Nagisa (10.0/24.0) (▲3.0)
Oda Erina (9.0/24.0) (1.0) (▲4.0)
Ota Nao (8.0/24.0)(▲6.0)
Sato Nanami (6.0/24.0)(▲2.0)
Nagano Serika (5.0/24.0) (▲2.0)
Mougi Kasumi (5.0/24.0)(▲3.0)
Shimizu Maria (4.0/24.0) (▲2.0)
Abe Mei (3.0/24.0)
Yokoyama Yui (8) (3.0/24.0) (▲1.0)
Hashimoto Haruna (1.0/24.0)
Nakano Ikumi (2.0/20.0) (▲1.0)
Takahashi Ayane (0.6/16.0)
Miyazato Rira (0.6/16.0)
Tani Yuri (0.6/16.0)(▲0.6)
Hidaritomo Ayaka (0.6/16.0)(▲0.6)
Gyouten Yurina (4.6/13.3)(▲2.6)
Hitomi Kotone (0.6/13.3)(0.6)

Spoiler: AKB48 KKS

Nomura Nao (12.0/24.0)
Kubo Satone (7.0/24.0)
Yamane Suzuha (6.0/24.0) (▲4.0)
Shouji Nagisa (6.0/16.0) (▲2.0)
Inagaki Kaori (2.6/16.0)
Sato Minami (0.6/16.0)
Taguchi Mnaka (0.6/16.0)

SKE48

Spoiler: Team S

Matsui Jurina (24.0/24.0③)
Kitagawa Ryoha (9.0/24.0) (▲3.0)
Futamura Haruka (5.0/24.0) (▲2.0)
Isshiki Rena (4.0/16.0)(0.6) (▲2.6)
Nojima Kano (1.3/16.0) (▲0.6)

Spoiler: Team KII

Souda Sarina (24.0/24.0④)
Takayanagi Akane (22.0/24.0) (▲10.0)
Furuhata Nao (19.0/24.0) (▲8.0)
Oba Mina (16.0/24.0) (▲5.0)
Obata Yuna (6.0/24.0)(▲4.0)
Ego Yuna (5.0/24.0) (▲1.0)
Matsumura Kaori (2.0/24.0) (▲1.0)
Takeuchi Saki (2.0/24.0) (▲2.0)
Hidaka Yuzuki (2.0/22.0) (▲1.0)
Aoki Shiori (5.3/16.0) (▲4.0)
Arai Yuki (4.6/16.0) (▲3.3)
Takagi Yumana (1.3/16.0)
Kitano Ruka (1.3/16.0)(1.3)
Uchiyama Mikoto (1.3/16.0) (▲1.3)
Ota Ayaka (0.0/16.0)(0.6)

Spoiler: Team E

Suda Akari (24.0/24.0④)
Goto Rara (24.0/24.0⑤) (▲6.0)
Kimoto Kanon (14.0/24.0) (▲3.0)
Kumazaki Haruka (9.0/24.0) (▲4.0)
Sato Sumire (3.0/24.0)(1.0) (▲1.0)
Saito Makiko (3.0/24.0) (▲2.0)
Takatera Sana (1.0/24.0)(▲1.0)
Tani Marika (1.0/24.0) (▲1.0)
Ichino Narumi (0.6/16.0)

Spoiler: SKE48 KKS

Okada Miku (1.3/16.0) (▲0.6)
Kataoka Narumi (0.6/16.0)
Kawai Anna (0.6/16.0)
Nakamura Izumi (0.6/16.0)

NMB48

Spoiler: Team N

Yamamoto Sayaka (24.0/24.0①)
Sutou Ririka (21.0/24.0) (▲9.0)
Tanigawa Airi (9.0/24.0) (▲1.0)
Yamamoto Ayaka (4.0/24.0) (▲2.0)
Ichikawa Miori (2.0/24.0) (▲2.0)
Matsumura Megumi (0.6/16.0)
Hori Shion (0.6/16.0)
Hayashi Momoka (0.0/16.0)(1.3)
Koga Narumi (0.0/16.0)(0.6)

Spoiler: Team M

Shiroma Miru (24.0/24.0③)
Kato Yuuka (23.0/24.0) (▲10.0)
Shibuya Nagisa (21.0/24.0) (▲8.0)
Yoshida Akari (9.0/24.0) (▲4.0)
Kinoshita Momoka (2.0/24.0)
Odan Mai (4.0/16.0) (▲1.3)
Kawakami Rena (2.6/16.0) (▲2.6)
Nakano Reina (0.6/16.0)
Yasuda Momone (0.6/16.0) (▲0.6)

Spoiler: Team BII

Yagura Fuuko (24.0/24.0④)
Ota Yuuri (17.0/24.0) (▲5.0)
Murase Sae (9.0/24.0) (▲4.0)
Okita Ayaka (5.0/24.0) (▲1.0)
Uemura Azusa (5.0/24.0) (▲3.0)
Jo Eriko (1.0/24.0) (▲1.0)
Morita Ayaka (13.3/16.0) (▲13.3)
Kushiro Rina (1.3/16.0) (▲0.6)

Spoiler: NMB48 KKS

Jonishi Rei (2.0/24.0) (▲1.0)
Kojima Karin (0.6/16.0) (▲0.6)
Nakagawa Mion (0.6/16.0) (▲0.6)

HKT48

Spoiler: Team H

Sashihara Rino (24.0/24.0③)
Kodama Haruka (24.0/24.0④)
Tanaka Miku (24.0/24.0④)
Yabuki Nako (20.0/24.0⑤) (▲4.0)
Matsuoka Natsumi (22.0/24.0) (▲14.0)
Tashima Meru (21.0/24.0) (▲11.0)
Kojina Yui (20.0/24.0) (▲5.0)
Sakaguchi Riko (7.0/24.0)(1.0) (▲4.0)
Akiyoshi Yuka (2.0/24.0) (▲2.0)
Yamada Marina (1.0/24.0) (▲1.0)
Tanaka Natsumi (14.6/16.0) (▲4.6)
Ueno Haruka (3.3/16.0) (▲2.0)
Yamamoto Mao (0.6/16.0)

Spoiler: Team KIV

Miyawaki Sakura (24.0/24.0②)
Fuchigami Mai (24.0/24.0⑤) (▲1.0)
Moriyasu Madoka (24.0/24.0⑤) (▲8.0)
Motomura Aoi (24.0/24.0⑤) (▲10.0)
Tomonaga Mio (21.0/24.0) (▲5.0)
Tomiyoshi Asuka (13.0/24.0) (▲3.0)
Ueki Nao (7.0/24.0) (▲5.0)
Tanka Yuka (6.0/24.0) (▲4.0)
Murashige Anna (1.0/24.0)
Imada Mina (0.6/16.0) (▲0.6)

Spoiler: Team TII

Murakawa Vivian (22.0/24.0) (▲20.0)
Matsuoka Hana (21.0/24.0) (▲8.0)
Hokazono Hazuki (1.0/24.0)
Imamura Maria (1.0/24.0)
Yamauchi Yuna (1.3/16.0)
Yamashita Emily (0.6/16.0)(▲0.6)

Spoiler: HKT48 KKS

Tsukiashi Amane (24.0/24.0⑤) (▲11.0)
Toyonaga Aki (18.0/24.0) (▲7.0)
Matsumoto Hinata (6.0/24.0) (▲1.0)
Takeda Tomoka (2.0/24.0) (▲1.0)
Unjo Hirona (1.0/24.0)
Shimizu Rio (2.6/16.0) (▲2.6)
Sakai Moeka (2.0/16.0) (▲2.0)

NGT48

Spoiler: Team NIII

Nakai Rika (24.0/24.0④)
Yamaguchi Maho (24.0/24.0④)
Kato Minami (24.0/24.0⑤) (▲1.0)
Homma Hinata (23.0/24.0) (▲8.0)
Ogino Yuka (23.0/24.0) (▲10.0)
Nishigata Marina (22.0/24.0) (▲5.0)
Murakumo Fuka (4.0/24.0) (▲4.0)
Kitahara Rie (1.0/24.0)
Takakura Moeka (1.0/24.0) (▲1.0)
Yamada Noe (2.6/16.0) (▲2.6)
Hasegawa Rena (1.3/16.0) (▲1.3)

Spoiler: NGT48 KKS

Nara Miharu (24.0/24.0⑤) (▲7.0)
Miyajima Aya (17.0/24.0) (▲4.0)
Nishimura Nanako (8.0/24.0) (▲4.0)
Nakamura Ayuka (7.0/24.0)
Seiji Reina (4.0/16.0)

STU48

Spoiler: STU48 KKS

Yabushita Fu (2.0/24.0) (▲2.0)
Yano Honoka (1.0/24.0) (▲1.0)

Slots Sold So far
AKB48: 677.6 / 2,262.6 (29.95%)
SKE48: 238.3 / 1,334 (17.87%)
NMB48: 227.3 / 1,016 (22.38%)
HKT48: 435.0 / 1,048 (41.51%)
NGT48: 210.0 /　 512 (41.02%)
STU48: 3.0 /　 744 (0.40%)
Total: 1,791.3 / 6,916.6 (25.90%)