Let's start our usual end-of-the-year thread. First of all, my last year HFP. Spoiler Hopes A really good Under Song, at least Nichijou or Sabita class, Unfortunately, no Kami Under song this year. Omoidetomarakunaru is okay, but not at the level of the previous Under song. Group photobook, not Satsu or Mode, but a photobook with mizugi and stuff... No group photobook... New variety show for 5ki, ShinStar is just too long for me. Chou Shin Star is kind of new with skit, but it is not completely new. The revival of NOGITEN!!! "In Your Dream", said management... Fears Bananaman graduation Nope! They will be the Nogi MC forever 4ki members graduation. Unfortunately, Seira and Yurichan... Scandal. SEIGO scandal is the only one that I remember Mediocre or bad song, especially UNDER song. Yes, all Under song this year is not my taste, unfortunately. Prediction 5ki center (Nagi please!!!) and 5ki enter Senbatsu. Nagi 33th, YEAH!!! no OG left by the end of 2023. Yes, after Asuka left, no more OG. Maybe it is too soon, but an announcement of a 6ki audition by the end of the year? Fortunately, no announcement yet. I think Nogi is in starting point to build a new wave. My hopes, fears, and prediction for 2024 Hopes Kami songs for both Title and Under. Shiori solo center. A new variety show for Under members. Tbh, the monthly Otameshichuu is not enough. Once again, I want something similar to Nogiten. No MC and member has more freedom. Nagi center. Aruno Senbatsu. Runa enter Senbatsu once more. No need for Fukujin. A 3rd-row corner is okay for me. No more Yamazaki Rena cases (members without Senbatsu experience until their graduation). Fears Scandal, the big one. Mass graduation, especially the popular members. Basically, nothing to fear because Nogizaka is on the right track. Prediction More than one 3ki graduation, one of 4ki graduation. Sayaka returns from Hiatus. If the graduation prediction comes true, there will be an announcement for the 6th gen at the end of 2024. +++ Last Year's HFP thread. http://stage48.net/forum/index.php?threads/hopes-fears-and-predictions-for-2023-nogizaka46.24313/
I clicked through to last year's thread and I thought I never left this one! LOLz. Spoiler: No hope. But no despair! Hopes Handshakes resume -->Missed YAC, Reno, Hazuki senbatsu -->2 of 3!! Another Runa/Yuri lofi rap song --> Missed. One graduated, the other went on hiatus. Kaki/Yama W-center --> Not both at the same time, but they did with other members! Aruno solo song --> Missed A unit song that reminds me of AraRoma with members to match--> Missed A unit song that reminds me of Dankeschoen with members to match--> Missed A unit song that reminds me of Dekopin with members to match--> Missed Iroha will sell 1 slot--> Easy get. Fears 6th Gen announcement --> Save it for later Predictions Endou gets a 3rd center --> Does W-center count?? Sato Rika will be the next 4.5 to make senbatsu --> Easy get. Edit: Less graduations than this year! (Easy peasy because of how many we had in 2022!) I'll say 4 graduations... --> I should have played the lottery That being said, a 4th Gen will graduate --> Got Two! Wait I shouldn't be excited... sadge I'm still a big Nogi fan and I can still wish them a better future... Hopes Once more: handshakes resume YAC, Mio, Okamato, Iroha senbatsu Principle for 4th and 5th Gens Their first big hit popular with the public US shows They save the trees at Meiji Jingu Yakyujyou Kakehashi comes back... Fears ...Kakehashi graduates Yamashita graduates. At the moment, my first choice oshi Predictions 6th Gen auditions 3rd Gen graduations. Not naming names, but it will leave only 7 after 2024 Mayutan named vice captain Third documentary of Nogizaka
Hopes Good and "Different concept than usual" A-Side song (Something like Influencer, bold concept) Kakehashi return Another Kakki A-side center Sakutan popularity rise! and More jobs Runa's senba comeback Aya in senbatsu and popularity rise! Prediction Yamashita Grad(?) More push for Miku Satsuki kicked from senbatsu Aya and Aruno in senba, Aruno regular senba Tokyo Dome again More PB (Terepan?) 6th Gen is Coming~ Fear Another Nagi center position... Dating Scandal Low quality A-Sides
Spoiler: 2023 Hopes Mao and Miku Senbatsu if not on the next single, then on the 33rd ---> 32nd single It would probably take more time but I hope Aya continues to grow in confidence, gain more fan support, and eventually Senbatsu by the end of next year ---> almost there Sato Rika finally selected to Senbatsu ---> 32nd single Keep a spot to rotate non-permanent Senbatsu members. Kaede to Tamami to Reno perhaps. Or as I mentioned, Rika or Miyu ---> still rotating As always, hoping for more units with any combination of my favorites Kubo, Reno, Kaki, Seira, Runa, Yuna, and now add Aya, Nagi, and Mao. Of course, give them a good song. ---> well, Kaki (solo) center for a 3rd time and more acting jobs in the future ---> W-center More outside jobs for Kubo. Whether TV, movie or stage as long as she gets more offers (actually, already got one for this just today) ---> doing great Now that she's back, I hope Seira gains her momentum back as well ---> graduated I'm very satisfied with Star Tanjo nearing the 40-episode mark so I hope they'll give 5th gen a new show after this or a different variety for Nogizaka ---> now I rarely watch and if I do, only the singing part. skits are too boring for me Fears Runa is the last 4.5 to Senbatsu and even worst, they drop her back to UG ---> back to Under but not the last Iroha's struggle with HS results will continue ---> not as much as the other members but selling some slots Predictions This time, pretty sure Endo Sakura will be center again ---> W-center 5th generation will be in Senbatsu next single, but not center ---> Yes Because I think a more senior member will be the next center: Yamashita, Endo or Kaki ---> Yama & Kubo I feel like 5th gen will likely have a W-center in the future and it's gonna be Nagi x Sakura ---> Not W-center, Nagi solo Sakura will receive a strong push, more than the other 5th ---> still think they will push her more If they'll release 3 single next year, more than half of 5th gen will be in Senbatsu by that 3rd single release ---> Yes This is quite easy and expected. Ayane and Manatsu will graduate next year ---> done HOPES: Mao back to her rightful position, Fukujin next single Aya Senbatsu I want to see Kubo, Kaki and Ioki unit Mao solo center NaoNao stay Senbatsu I hope Runa will be selected one more time FEARS: Mao not getting the push she deserve Next level airdrop, another faceless center that turns out to be part of the not yet announced 6th gen PREDICTION: Maybe because she's the one I follow closely, but I have a feeling Kubo will be the next to graduate. Either her or it's gonna be Yamashita If so, expect Yama 2nd PB release (well, even if she's not graduating yet) Yumiki's 1st and Ume's 2nd PB and the moment Ayame turns 20 - Photobook 6th generation Aruno back to Senbatsu next single Aya Senbatsu either next single or the one that follows Yuna dropped to Under Yakubo's turn to be selected Mao Center Not all current 5th gen Senbatsu will stay Senbatsu by the end of 2024 Album release YAC announces graduation before the year ends - Senbatsu as a farewell gift. It's either the long-awaited comeback for Kakehashi or graduation announcement. The only question is, 'will it be next year?'
HOPES: - Saachan return - great title tracks - More under content - Otameshichuu eng sub - International promotion/expansion - Ume center PREDICTIONS: - Aya senbatsu debut, Aruno senbatsu comeback - Saku2 center - Inoue Nagi and Kawasaki Sakura 1st PB - NagiSatsu w-center - Zukki grad until end 2024 - another 4ki graduates(not saachan) - Kubo solo center - Runa and Tamami senbatsu again - Another under banger like nichijou FEARS: - More than 3 members will announce grad - Big scandal happens - 6ki audition(i personally think it´s too soon for another new gen, 5ki is very strong and i don´t want another 2ki situation)
As I'm not massively into NG46 (JPN48 in general) I don't have any fears other than Nagi leaving and that's definitely not gonna happen lol. But I do hope for Nogifes to adapt an English UI as they're starting to subtitle YouTube videos in English, I think I may be aiming a bit high there though..? I don't know, I am unable to find an English tutorial for the new UI and way too scared to ask for a guide as I basically got chased with pitchforks the last time I had
Hopes Kanagawa comes back stronger from hiatus Kakehashi heals, or we have some news A cool first single like the previous year (I am a fan of Hitowa yumewo nido miru); amazing choreographies for all singles A couple of lesser members graduate Aya and Satsuki grow their potential Fears Many menbers dear to me graduates, like all 3ki aces (please don't) Many bad ordinary songs without originality Prediction 3/4 graduations among 3th and 4th gen members, among these Yamashita Aruno and Nagi consolidate their ace position Spoiler: Last year prediction http://stage48.net/forum/index.php?...tions-for-2023-nogizaka46.24313/#post-1780037
Hopes: Matsuo Miyu becoming regular Senbatsu member More main tracks similar to Actually.../Influencer/Seifuku no Manequinn & less similar to Rock Daze Sakura, Kaki & Tamura Mayu announcing their highly unexpected graduations, so other 4th Gen members could reach the top. (Please, at least one of them) Ichinose becoming front member Maybe 6th generation audition Another Zukki solo center "Produce46?" Fears: Zukki being next one to leave Aruno being frustrated about not entering senbatsu & announcing graduation Kakehashi doing "the Kodama Haruka" Okamoto Hina becoming a member, who goes on hiatus regularly (She looks like this type of girl) Ichinose Miku being the first 5th gen member to be dropped Kawasaki Sakura being their new center girl Predictions: Yoda Yuki & Ito Riria will graduate, maybe Sakaguchi Tamami & Mukai Hazuki also. Kakehashi's return, but only for few months, until she leaves, finding health-related excuses. Yoshida Ayano Christie, Yakubo Mio & Ogawa Aya making their senbatsu debut. Aruno would not get picked until the very end, as the MV & song & center from Monopoly's under looks too similar to the under song of AKB48's last single, with Arai Sae being center. Aruno = false bait. She would eventually get outpicked by Matsuo, Kaede, Seimiya, Reno & the three girls with no senbatsu spot yet, I mentioned earlier. Another Nagi center, maybe also a Satsuki center Second Kaki Sakura WCenter
I think that wouldn't happen. She's been pushed a lot lately, so I can't see why she wouldn't picked. If that happen I'd love to see how she do it, Ik she will do it well
