2018 Senbatsu Election Predictions/Hopes/Dreams & Etc

Another year is about to pass, and another year is time to come. It may be 6 months away but it's time to make predictions!

I will repeat my wish from last year:

20 members per unit
100 members will rank
Kami 7 becomes Kami 10

Now my new Top 16. if my wishes were not granted:

1. Matsui Jurina
2. Ogino Yuka
3. Miyawaki Sakura
4. Suda Akari
5. Muto Tomu
6. Yokoyama Yui
7. Minegishi Minami
8. Okada Nana
9. Soda Sarina
10. Takahashi Juri
11. Shiroma Miru
12. Mukaichi Mion
13. Kodama Haruka
14. Furuhata Nao
15. Yoshida Akari
16. Kato Rena

 

Top ten 2018 senbatsu ( my prediction )
1.Mukaichi Mion
2.Sashihara Rino
3.Matsui Jurina
4.Ogino Yuka
5.Miyawaki Sakura
6.Oguri Yui
7.Yokoyama Yui
8.Okada Nana
9.Takahashi Juri
10.Souda Sarina

 

Ogiyuka NUMBA ONE!

1. Ogiyuka
2. Jurina
3. Sakura
4. Yuihan
5. Okada
6. Souda
7. Miru
8. Juri
9. Haruka
10. Akarin
11. Hinatan
12. Mion
13. Miku
14. KatoRena
15. Rika
16. YuiYui

Took out all girls that I expect to sit out Sasshi, Tomu, Yukirin, Sayanee, Dasu, Churri, Kaotan, Annin, Oba Mina and Minegishi (?)

 

If Sayanee joins SSK back:
1. Sayanee
2. Jurina
3. Sakura
4. Ogiyuka
5. Tomu
6. Dasu
7. Nana
8. Yuihan
9. Juri
10. Souda
11. Mion
12. Hinatan
13. Kaotan
14. Akarin
15. Nao
16. Chuuri

SKE's hako-oshi will vote for Jurina more, so maybe other members' votes will drop a bit. If Sayanee joins SSK, Miru actually will lose her votes. AKB's hope just in Tomu, however management doesn't want her to be shine.

 

My prediction
from last year's senbatsu Mayuyu,Kitahara,Sasshi and Dasu don't participate

1.Matsui Jurina
2.Miyawaki Sakura
3.Okada Nana
4.Ogino Yuka
5.Yokoyama Yui
6.Shiroma Miru
7.Muto Tomu
8.Takahashi Juri
9.Mukaichi Mion
10.Souda Sarina
11.Yoshida Akari
12.Kato Rena
13.Oguri Yui
14.Homma Hinata
15.Nakai Rika
16.Kodama Haruka

The Jurina vs Sakura fight for 1st place is going to result on other ske&hkt members to drop
but i still expect some pushes like Yunana,Mikurin and Nako on undergirls

 

My prediction:
1. Matsui Jurina
2. Miyawaki Sakura
3. Suda Akari
4. Ogino Yuka
5. Yokoyama Yui
6. Okada Nana
7. Shiroma Miru
8. Furuhata Nao
9. Soda Sarina
10. Mukaichi Mion
11. Yoshida Akari
12. Takayanagi Akane
13. Takahashi Juri
14. Honma Hinata
15. Oguri Yui
16. Nakai Rika

Undergirls:
17. Minegishi Minami
18. Ota Yuuri
19. Tanaka Miku
20. Fukuoka Seina
21. Kato Rena
22. Iwatate Saho
23. Matsumura Kaori
24. Kojima Mako
25. Ego Yuna
26. Yabuki Nako
27. Oba Mina
28. Kubo Satone
29. Obata Yuna
30. Kato Yuuka
31. Nishigata Marina
32. Kitagawa Ryoha

I also predict at least 3 STU48 girls will rank in (one of them being Takino Yumiko).

 

Centers for this single(Jurina, Yukirin, Sakura and YuiYui) Graduation single
1. Sakura-tan
2. Jurina
3. Naachan
4. Sayanee
5. Yuihan
6. Sayanee
7. Ogino
8. Akarin(NMB48)
9. Soda
10. Nao
11. Juri
12. Mion
13. YuiYui
14. Hinata
15. Haruppi
16. Yuiri

Undergirls:
17. Mirunrun
18. Mikurin
19. Annin
20. Satone
21. Ota Yuuri
22. Renacchi
23. Mio
24. Meru
25. Yunana
26. Nagisa
27. KomiHaru
28. Megu
29. Seichan
30. Sayaya
31. KojiMako
32. Nako

 

My Prediction (Sasshi won’t participate)

1. Matsui Jurina
2. Miyawaki Sakura
3. Ogino Yuka
4. Suda Akari
5. Muto Tomu
6. Okada Nana
7. Souda Sarina
8. Yokoyama Yui (we shouldn’t overestimate Yuihan too much. She barely improved her vote counts from 2016 to 2017 and it’s quite inconsistent but who knows)
   
9. Shiroma Miru
10. Takahashi Juri
11. Yoshida Akari
12. Mukaichi Mion (high chance for huge comeback considering the painful fall)
13. Furuhata Nao
14. Honma Hinata
15. Kodama Haruka (can be a proving point to HKT management that Haruppi is still doing great)
16. Kojima Mako (likely-ish if nothing happens)

I started on a ranking where I added everyone’s vote counts from mid UGs to #1 and divided it by the number of times they’ve ranked but I’ll see if I want to finish that or not lol. I was going to calculate the average vote increase but that was too much work.

 

I just hope Sayaya & Megu would make a miracle next year (2018) like Ogiyuka did this year (2017) at least they rank above Mako. You may underestimate them but please don't.

 

1. Tomu
2. Jurina
3. Sakura
4. Ogiyuka
5. Dasu
6. Naachan
7. Hinata
8. Miru
9. Churi
10. Yuihan
11. Akarin
12. Kaotan
13. Miichan
14. Rika
15. Juri
16. Mion

 

After last year's NGT whirlwind sweep I'm going ham for predictions. The girls who declared they weren't participating last year wasn't included. (Sasshi also declared it was her last)

1. Yoshida Akari
2. Miyawaki Sakura
3. Matsui Jurina
4. Ogino Yuka
5. Homma Hinata
6. Oguri Yui
7. Okada Nana
8. Yokoyama Yui
9. Shiroma Miru
10. Souda Sarina
11. Takahashi Juri
12. Tanabe Miku
13. Obata Yuna
14. Furuhata Nao
15. Kubo Satone
16. Takino Yumiko

Btw imma raise my bet that they are gunna do SSK in Hiroshima or Hyougo.


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My prediction:
1. Kashiwagi Yuki (if she participates again)
2. Miyawaki Sakura
3. Matsui Jurina
4. Ogino Yuka
5. Yokoyama Yui
6. Okada Nana
7. Yoshida Akari (if she goes awf during SSK on her youtube channel, I have a feeling she might unexpectedly goes Kami-7)
8. Souda Sarina
9. Mutou Tomu (if she participates again)
10. Shiroma Miru
11. Kodama Haruka
12. Minegishi Minami (girl just announce during application period, it's sad seeing her failed attempts every year)
13. Honma Hinata
14. Furuhata Nao
15. Mukaichi Mion
16. Takahashi Juri

Undergirls:
17. Fukuoka Seina (Marathon hype lol)
18. Nakai Rika
19. Kato Rena
20. Takakura Moeka
21. Ota Yuuri
22. Kojima Mako
23. Oguri Yui
24. Tanaka Miku
25. Kuranoo Narumi
26. Nishigata Marina
27. Kubo Satone
28. Kawamoto Saya
29. Yabuki Nako
30. Takino Yumiko (lol, a super wild guess)
31. Tomonaga Mio
32. Iwatate Saho

Not Participating:
Suda Akari
Takayanagi Akane
Matsumura Kaori
Oba Mina

I sound like an SKE hater with the non participant guesses, but among the top 32, SKE has the oldest members

 

My list is what i's would like it to be like; it's may be unrealistic but it's still something would like to happen. I'm making it 21 because even though it's unlikely they'll go back to member senbatsu , it may change, with the amount of members now and the 3rd generation draftees.
1. Matsui Jurina
2. Miyawaki Sakura
3. Ogino Yuka
4. Okada Nana
5. Takahashi Juri
6. Shiroma Miru
7. Yokoyama Yui
8. Mukaichi Mion
9. Furuhata Nao
10. Haruka Kodama
11. Homma Hinnata
12 Oguri Yui
13. Fukuoka Seina
14. Kawamoto Saya
15. Kojima Mako
16. Muto Tomu
17. Kato Rena
18.Yabuki Nako
19.Tanaka Miku
20.Taniguchi Megu
21. Komiyama Haruka

 

I refuse to make any predictions because if 2017 has taught us anything is that it can be volatile af.

My most realistic hope/prediction right now would be:

1. Jurina
2. Sakura
3. Dasu
4. Ogiyuka
5. Yui
6. Naachan
7. Mirurun
8. Haruppi
9. Sally
10. Juri
11. Nao
12. Churi
13. Akarin
14. Miion
15. Hinatan
16. Nakai

But then again, it’s too soon.

In all the upcoming singles and albums there could be lots of pushes that could change a lot of things.

 

I'm just going to write up a "realistic" hope for senbatsu and give a prediction after I know who is going to take part.

1. Matsui Jurina (She'll beat Sakura by like 2 thousand)
2. Miyawaki Sakura (Huge increase past the 115k mark)
3. Okada Nana (between 80-95k)
4. Ogino Yuka (around the same votes as last year)
5. Mukaichi Mion (will have a bounce back effect a la milky and dasu, at least 75k)
6. Shiroma Miru (more push from management to get her into senbatsu will be a success)
7. Yokoyama Yui (will be the new "barrier" of Kami 7)
8. Takahashi Juri (at least 60k)
9. Furuhata Nao (slight increase, probably last SSK)
10. Yoshida Akari (big increase from more YT followers, at least 50k)
11. Souda Sarina (decrease to about 45-49k, not too far from akari's votes)
12. Muriyama Yuiri (i think she's gonna participate this year)
13. Kodama Haruka (she'll participate again but since she lost momentum this is as far as she'll go)
14. Kato Rena (i think she'll get about 40k votes which should be enough for senbatsu lol)
15. Kojima Mako (long overdue but she can do it)
16. Homma Hinata (slight decrease but still over 40k)

17. Nakai Rika
18. Tanaka Miku
19. Fukuoka Seina
20. Ota Yuuri

- Minus Mayu, Sasshi, Sayanee, Yukirin, Minegishi, Suda, Takayangi, Rie, Tomu

Hopes
- None of the "minus" members above participate.
- Tano ranks back in
- 16th gen show a huge increase
- NMB new gen and NGT REPRESENT!

I literally don't care who wins i just hope it's exciting, last years elections was one of the most boring ones i've ever watched because we knew sasshi would win and mayu would lose and most girls didn't even bother with it lol. Please, let's make this SSK be the first great showing of the new gen of 48G.

 

Last year was boring?? NGT whirlwind and lilypong marriage announcement plus SSK cancelled gongshow in the community hall was the most exciting things I've seen in SSK history.

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Whoever will screw next SSK must be top tier hacker.

 

lol. Have you lost your mind? I don’t know if you’re being sarcastic with your “realistic” or being real. One does not gain more than double their votes. No one in the 48G is a Sasshi. Besides, let’s say Nao jumps to 9 from 14 with Naachan’s vote count. 8000 votes is not “slight increase”. And what makes you think that it’ll be Nao’s last SSK? Nao has been bombing and if she keeps her Senbatsu position, Yunana can step aside. If you’re talking about her age, quit it. She’s only 22 by then. Far from graduation age.

 

Wtf dude I clearly said realistic HOPE, not prediction. If i was going by hope in general i would have put Tano, Naachan, Tomu, Miru, Akarin, Renacchi, and Rikachan as kami 7 lmfao. This is far from what my prediction is which is much more realistic, and if you read my post you would know that im not posting my actual prediction AFTER the application cut off date, so please chill your beans.

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Isn't it too early to flame each other's fantasy rankings right now (wheres my popcorn)

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