... without its sister groups? If only AKB48 members (with kennins) would participate in AKB48 single handshakes and songs? Is there a way to calculate this? (not exact but at least estimated)
Probably half of their regular sales? Like 500,000? I would like to hope for more but I don’t know, the only AKB big names are Yukirin and Yuihan (a little). Naachan and Juri are on their way up and I don’t really think they can keep the million streak with Jurina, Sayanee or Sasshi
And Nogi has no support from sister groups. Wait, Nogi doesn't have any sister group doesn't it? Keyaki is actually unrelated group even a rival?
They are sisters, but they are not talking to each other, so they don't do HS together. AKB should sell around 500, imo. If the SG can sell 350k with just 50 girls, AKB should have no problem selling a bit more with double the members.
probably 500k. the real qyestion is, how much would SG sales increase if it indeed happens? Sent from my SM-G935F using Tapatalk
It depends from handshake sales I think. Most AKB48 native members including Yuihan only sell all slots on sousenkyo singles, once every year. As I'm comparing it to Nogi, most Nogi members sell all slots every single.
Simple calculation, detract 500k at your assumption for AKB-only from 1 mil. Spread that among 5 SG. Voila, 100k for each group on Oricon. Definitely more on Billboard. (It may be different on the actuality though, given the spread may be unequal) There's an advanced method using the latest HS soldout spread, and based on that, AKB contribute at least 35-40% from the sold outs. Of course that's all comes from assuming team 8 are included.
I definitely think AKB benefits from the sister groups inclusion to boost HS sales. SKE, NMB, and HKT probably lose 100k each, and NGT and STU probably lost about 25-50k each. Given the lack of AKB members who max out on their slots, I would say worst case scenario AKB could manage 400k sales without SG's. Best case scenario 700k. That's less than Nogi and at the same level as Keyaki currently. Each sister group would see a rise of about 100k sales if they stopped doing AKB HS events.
Nogi wotas and Keya wotas fight against each other every day in /sakamichi/ general (/akbg/ spinoff, both in /jp/ ) in 4chan by the way. Though that's 4chan being 4chan as always.
Someone told me that limited & regular CDs are sold averagely 200k-300k CDs every single. Except sousenkyo single maybe.