2017 Senbatsu Election Predictions/Hopes/Dreams & Etc

1. Sashihara Rino
2. Yamamoto Sayaka
3. Watanabe Mayu
4. Matsui Jurina
5. Miyawaki Sakura
6. Kashiwagi Yuki
7. Kodama Haruka
8. Muto Tomu
9. Okada Nana
10. Mukaichi Mion
11. Yokoyama Yui
12. Kitahara Rie
13. Suda Akari
14. Shiroma Miru
15. Minegishi Minami
16. Iriyama Anna

Hopes:
Sasshi wins, 3 HKT girls in Kami 7
more NGT girls rank-in, senbatsu or UG for Nakai Rika
Seichan, Moekyun, Miorin rank-in
Aanya rank-up
someone announces grad
16nin senbatsu
time limits for non-senbatsu member speeches

 

@remusat Miichan did say last year that it was her last SSK.
And I think I remember Annin saying something like "I want to see that scene one more time" (scene meaning ranking), so dunno if she'll try again.

I would love for Annin and Kojimako to enter senbatsu and Juri, Naachan and Miion ranking up.

 

For this to happen both 46 and 48 have to release a voting single at the same time, which by itself will be a head to head battle for who has the most sales, which will then culminate with the Sousenkyo and whichever group the winner is part of will be releasing the single.
Sounds really good, they can actually make good use of Nogi's "official rival" tag. But I don't think management is ready to cross that bridge yet, as they don't even know what kind of negative effect it'll have on the losing side, or maybe even the winning side. Maybe they'll save this spectacle for when both groups aren't doing too well to boost both sales and public interest.

 

Her HS results were pretty good until the latest single, I think they may have weakened because of her injury and absences and people not ordering in case she cancels more hs dates. Regarding Kouhaku the Haruppi fans didn't get particularly excited about it (I don't think they saw the significance of it) so they didn't particularly plan anything or focus on it.

Also HS results and SSK results don't always go hand in hand, for example Tomu's HS results are not that great but she always pulls out a big SSK result.

Whether Haruppi even enters this year will I think be down to how soon she's able to come back from injury. If she's back by the easter series of tour concerts then I'm sure she'll enter but if it's a longer absence then I have a hunch she might sit it out this year. If she does enter though, the Kodama Sentai are even more organized this year than last year and they did really well last year.

 

Mayu has not said yet that he will attend, but i she don't, the likelihood of Sasshi win is 95%. but i hope the game change and i think Sakura will get a high position this year, mark my words.

 

I think some people still underestimated with juri & her fans,but its fine

But i really hopes all members of gens 12th get call this year. Specially tano-chan im kinda sad when her name not called in last ssk.

And for u make prediction according iin NHK snbtsu,,i thought u must take a rest for a second

 

it would be awesome if Miion or Naachan rank in Kami 7
Haruppi will probably make it and maybe Tomu
but this only will happen if Sashi or Mayu don't participate
Dasu's position will probably drop to last row senbatsu(13-15)

 

Aight, might as well join in the hype

My super irresponsible biased top 16 ranking pre-prediction (Based on NHK senbatsu and last year's SSK reult as reference)

Spoiler

1. Sasshi

2. Sakuratan

3. Sayanee

4. Jurina

5. Mayoyo

6. Yukirin

7. Yuihan

8. Harrupi

9. Dasu

10. Kitarie

11. Nana

12. Mion

13. Tomu

14. Juri

15. Mako

16. Miru

*Rankings will differ later based on application, but for now this. If SSK were to happen today...

 

Oh I love this thread! I've been reading many posts and its getting me excited for the big day.

It's weird that I miss the Sakura and Bikini Summer singles. So if they could bring any of those two or both that would great.

It'd be cool if they had their elections for the sister groups. I understand AKB48 is the mothership, I get it. But I feel the activity in the other groups can really see positive results from their own elections. I'm not made out of money either so i'm fine either way.

I hope Miichan gets a higher rank this year being that she's the last OG and my original oshi. I thought she would be a great theater manager but I understand the decision making. So yeah I just hope she just gets back in the senbatsu. Throw me off my seat surprise if anyone can dethrone Sasshi. I feel if it's anyone Sayaka or Jurina. For SKE's sake i Hope it's Jurina.

 

I don't think we will see a top member graduate this year so I expect everyone to participate. 2018 is going to hurt.

1. Sasshi
2. Mayu
3. Sayanee
4. Jurina
5. Yukirin
6. Sakura.
7. Dasu/Harupi/Tomu
10. Mion
11. Yuihan
12. Nana
13. Kitarie
14. Miru
15. Mako
16. Mio

TTMC rush!!!
Juri not making Kouhaku Senbatsu, makes her the only candidate who might be in danger of falling out.
Though her fan base could just have deep pockets.
I also don't think we will see big jump in votes for Miichan, Annin and Churri.

 

I honestly feel Yukirin generation is over (dont flem me pls), she has dropped her ranks compared to the past ssk. In this case I can only speculate that she and Mayuyu will prob grad after this year SSK which is their last one. I personally feel Aki-p will not let sashi go that easily + STU, at least I feel another 1-2 years she wont graduate man

Sayanee is another story haha I think she will easily go 1-3 more rounds of SSK (not including this yr) before grad given her current solo is doing not bad or rather good. Easily able to go top 3 within the next few SSK (or even this years SSK)

Prediction for this years SSK (with those who might grad eg Mayuyu, Yukirin, Annin etc)
1. Sashi (most likely last or 2nd last)
2. Mayuyu
3/4/5. Sakura/Jurina/Sayanee (honestly feel Sayanee is a 3-4)
6. Yukirin (inbetween 5 and 6 for now. might surprise and give a 4)
7. Dasu (her last or 2nd last one)
8. Haruppi (might jump to 7 and swap with Dasu, first Kami 7 who knows)
9. Tomu
10. Okada Nana
11. Yuihan
12. Miion
13. KitaRie
14. Juri
15/16. Annin & Kojimako (might rank higher than Juri)

Ranking without those who announced grad:
1. Sashi
2. Sayanee (might be a 3, least likely 4)
3/4. Sakura/Jurina
5. Haruppi
6. Dasu
7. Tomu
8. Okada Nana
9. Miion
10. Yuihan
11. Kitarie
12. Juri
13/14. Annin & Kojimako (might move up)
15. Miichan (last SSK senbatsu push?)
16. Churi (last SSK senbatsu push?) / other potential candidates to rank in: Mio, KomiHaru, Oba Mina

Other centres for the other sub girls (ranking from highest possibility(left) to lowest(right)):
UnderG: Mirurun/Renacchi/Sayaya/Mio
NG: Yuria/Ryoka/Nao/Yabuki Nako?
FG: Mogi/Sahoo/Okada Ayaka(last SSK push)
UpcomingG: Megu/Katomina/Suzuran/Sakaguchi Nagisa

Rank in (top 80): Miorin, Oya (last grad push?), Yuiyui, ((another fella from NGT might be Nakai Rika/Moeka))

im anticipating more girls graduating and more dropping in rankings looking from last year rankings and given the grad age around 25 ish

My Hopes: Moeka rank in, Yuiyui rank in, Mayuyu(+yukirin) grad (altho she sort of my oshi), Sashi falls to 2nd or 3rd (omg haha my delusions then Sayanee go 1st) & Renacchi rank into Senbatsu!!!

 

^^
Correct me if im wrong
I dont think yukirin generation is over her drop from 2016 sousenkyo is due to her having her solo tour before sousenkyo and i remember on 2015 sousenkyo her fans went all out and she beat mayuyu so if they went all out again this year yukirin might beat mayuyu and maybe a 1 % chance in beating sashihara

In sashihara's case i do think she's aiming for a 3peat win coz in the near future someone might achieved another back to back win so if she's having a 3peat win it is harder to achieve

Heres's my prediction just ignore my comments since this thread is about prediction

1. Sasshi
2. Mayu/yukirin/sayanee
3 to 16 might be interchangeable

But i do hope
Okada nana = 7 th <= very biased prediction kami oshi be kami oshi

3/4. Sakura/Jurina
5. Haruppi
6. Tomu
7. Okada Nana
8. Mion
9. Dasu
10. Yuihan
11. Kitarie
12. Juri
13/14. Kojimako/mirurun
15. Annin??
16. Churi

 

^ 2016 Yukirin scandals...scandals sigh. I'm a big Yukirin fan, but her time is over and her votes will probably decrease over time...so honestly I just hope her have fun in the remaining years like Nyan did in AKB and NGT group as well. If lucky she might be in 6th place if not then this might be the year she drops out kami 7.

 

We usually have a big graduation announcement in April/May/June and a huge graduation concert in August and this year I think it might be Yukirin's. And Annin might graduate too.

My SSK prediction:

1. Sasshi
2/3/4. Mayuyu/Sayanee/Jurina
5. Sakura
6. Miion
7. Haruppi
8. Dasu
9. Tomu
10. Yui
11. Naachan
12. Kojimako
13. Mirurun
14. Churi
15. Miichan
16. Nao

Other centers:
UG: Juri/ Renacchi
NG: Fuuchan/ Egochan/ Yuria
FG: Ryoka/ Sahhoo
Upcoming: Yuiyui/ Akarin

 

Fair, that is exactly how I rank my list too.

 

I don't think Yukirin's time is over just yet. Seeing the drop, it might spark a competition against the other major threat votes. If Yukirin oshis does power vote, I don't think they'll lose out to Sakura (at least) oshis. Not going to lie, I don't think Sakura oshis should push Sakura first just yet due to the major obstacles she has to face right now with like Sasshi and Mayuyu.

 

Now that I think about it:
Paruru grad=votes for Rena and Sakura
Kojiharu grad=votes for Annin, Rena and Ayana
Kitahara not participating=votes for NGT